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pid
int64
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End of preview. Expand in Data Studio

OPSD prefix-continuation probe — seed data

Everything needed to reproduce the prefix-continuation probe for OPSD (on-policy self-distillation) on a fresh GPU box, except the base model (Qwen/Qwen3-1.7B, pulled from the Hub at setup) and the code repo (hbin0701/OPSD).

These artifacts live outside git because the training/eval output directory is .gitignored.

What the probe answers

Fitting p' = p + λ·(1[mode correct] − p) + γ against a properly sampled 64-shot baseline puts λ (the pull toward the model's own modal answer) at 0.128, with a 95% interval spanning zero, and γ — a flat gain collected everywhere — at +5.83 pp, 68% of the total +8.59 pp gain. So most of what OPSD buys is not mode-sharpening, and every measurement in the project scores whole attempts, which cannot separate "picks a better answer" from "executes an attempt better".

The probe forces that separation: stored rollouts are truncated mid-thinking, and both policies complete the same prefixes inside one vLLM engine (base = no adapter, champion = LoRA request), so batching, sampling and context are identical by construction.

base completes champion completes
base prefixes control execution effect
champion prefixes prefix effect both

Row effect = execution quality. Column effect = trajectory quality.

Contents (opsd_probe_seed.tar.gz, 148 MB → 350 MB unpacked)

path what
exp/runs/think_ablation/dpeval/base_at64/shard*.json untrained Qwen3-1.7B on AIME24, 30 problems × 64 samples, full generation text. avg 48.44 / pass 83.33 / maj 70.00
exp/runs/think_ablation/dpeval/qwen31b_incorrect_only_noopen_100steps_ckpt100_at64/shard*.json the OPSD champion, same protocol. avg 57.03 / pass 83.33 / maj 70.00
exp/runs/incorrect_only/.../checkpoint-100/adapter_{config.json,model.safetensors} the champion LoRA (r=64). Inference files only — the 1.5 GB DeepSpeed optimiser state is deliberately excluded
exp/src/tokencap/rollouts.json 300 cached on-policy training rollouts with prompts and token ids, for the clamp/agreement-mass diagnostic
exp/src/prefix_probe/s_spread.json already-computed agreement-mass distribution (300 rollouts, 378,207 positions)

Eval protocol for both shard sets: AIME24, thinking mode on, max_tokens 38912, T=1.0, top_p 0.95, tp=1, 4-way data-parallel, graded with math_verify 0.8.0.

Use

This dataset is data only — the code is not here. The runner lives in the project repo at exp/src/prefix_probe/bootstrap.sh (branch reports/experimental-record); it provisions a bare GPU box, pins the dependency set, downloads the base model, pulls this tarball from the Hub automatically, runs a preflight and launches.

bash bootstrap.sh --run              # probe
bash bootstrap.sh --with-training    # + the training stack

To use the data on its own, the tarball unpacks to repo-relative paths:

wget https://huggingface.co/datasets/hbin0701/opsd-probe-seed/resolve/main/opsd_probe_seed.tar.gz
tar xzf opsd_probe_seed.tar.gz -C <repo-root>

Requires driver ≥ 525. The probe is ~4–6 h on four A100-80GB.

A note on the agreement mass

s_spread.json records the per-position distribution of S = Σ_v 1[e_v < c]·q_v, the quantity that is simultaneously the step size and the support of the target in g = S·(p − q̃). It is not a gentle reweighting: at ≥75% of positions S = 1.0 exactly (nothing clamped), while the bottom percentile falls to 0.055. The clamp is inactive most of the time and closes hard at the opening (mean S 0.831 for tokens 1–64, relaxing to 0.938 past 1k).

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